Economic Predictions
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It is said that the only thing two economists will ever agree on is to
disagree. However, the consensus is
that the property market is not going
to collapse - notwithstanding the one
or two economists who still believe
that disaster is just around the corner. |
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Instead, prices are generally expected
to continue rising in line with inflation,
interest rates to remain historically low,
and inflation to remain within the
Chancellor’s expectations.
Whether the next interest rate
move is up or down, this is unlikely to
have any significant bearing on the
housing market - even though
individually we may all notice the
difference in our mortgage payments.
One of the reasons why interest rates
are less important nowadays, is the
widespread popularity of fixed rate
mortgages, which effectively impose a
degree of stability on the system.
In terms of demand, this is clearly
increasing. Indeed, the Government is
forecasting a substantial shortfall
between the number of new homes
being built and the number of new
households being created. In any market,
restricted demand means higher prices.
Lettings are an increasingly
important part of the property
market, as more and more people are
choosing to rent, rather than buy.
This decision is not necessarily
dictated by issues of affordability. In
many cases, it is a straightforward
lifestyle choice. Against this
background, rents have held steady,
and in our view will start to rise as the
capital values of the properties
concerend rise in line with inflation.
Finally, mortgages are still readily
available - so whether you buy or rent,
the choice is yours.
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